Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.933539 2.101890 2.281148 2.486726 2.716583 2.966368 3.259277
2025-11-16 1.655443 1.880765 2.134714 2.443957 2.812826 3.241811 3.782985
2025-11-23 1.488738 1.745713 2.047513 2.431743 2.913118 3.503301 4.292697
2025-11-30 1.400542 1.685847 2.032640 2.491164 3.090569 3.860580 4.946547
2025-12-07 1.299618 1.597262 1.969153 2.476205 3.162733 4.079958 5.433730
2025-12-14 1.211377 1.515410 1.904345 2.448948 3.209414 4.261603 5.880064
2025-12-21 1.114294 1.413965 1.804698 2.363854 3.164797 4.305944 6.124037
2025-12-28 1.063177 1.369150 1.776092 2.371905 3.248761 4.538029 6.672436
2026-01-04 1.024224 1.337557 1.762229 2.397812 3.358109 4.814495 7.319838
2026-01-11 0.990626 1.310727 1.752346 2.427217 3.472906 5.107227 8.027073
2026-01-18 0.958599 1.283810 1.739948 2.450765 3.578750 5.393234 8.756507
2026-01-25 0.922691 1.249089 1.713679 2.450495 3.645319 5.618784 9.404211
2026-02-01 0.871252 1.190052 1.649435 2.388820 3.609980 5.673033 9.749502
2026-02-08 0.832409 1.147581 1.607567 2.359431 3.625407 5.816180 10.285609
2026-02-15 0.801590 1.115392 1.579283 2.349446 3.671988 6.017914 10.966040
2026-02-22 0.789357 1.110335 1.592015 2.406565 3.838469 6.455073 12.203511
2026-03-01 0.761360 1.079810 1.563204 2.392291 3.876417 6.652333 12.951281
2026-03-08 0.732677 1.046900 1.528859 2.366214 3.890311 6.803156 13.616601
2026-03-15 0.693879 0.996668 1.464499 2.284759 3.795539 6.727936 13.739705
2026-03-22 0.676307 0.979037 1.451919 2.292468 3.868568 7.000594 14.747635
2026-03-29 0.663235 0.967914 1.449285 2.317269 3.975796 7.355189 16.025263
2026-04-05 0.651507 0.958383 1.448686 2.345416 4.091426 7.740024 17.457537
2026-04-12 0.639306 0.947531 1.445249 2.367953 4.197334 8.114970 18.940777